Current forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows in Jinan around 24–26°C for August 24 amid persistent summer warmth, high humidity that limits radiative cooling, and light winds with possible thundery showers. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where daily minima rarely drop below 22°C absent a strong cold front. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-higher outcome at 55% reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant cooling signals in recent runs, while lower-probability bins around 19–21°C capture residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or model spread. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum before resolution.