**Current forecasts for Jinan indicate the lowest temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, supporting the 53.5% market-implied probability on 22°C or higher.** Official and model guidance from sources such as timeanddate, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather project overnight lows of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 23–24°C amid lingering summer warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures well above the lower-probability buckets (20°C or below, collectively under 30%). Thunderstorm activity may enhance cloud cover and further moderate overnight minima. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, though minor downward revisions in model guidance could still shift odds toward the 20–21°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
22°C or higher 54%
20°C 36%
21°C 35%
18°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
7%
20°C
36%
21°C
35%
22°C or higher
54%
22°C or higher 54%
20°C 36%
21°C 35%
18°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C
$5 Vol.
14%
19°C
$5 Vol.
7%
20°C
$5 Vol.
36%
21°C
$5 Vol.
35%
22°C or higher
$245 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Jinan indicate the lowest temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, supporting the 53.5% market-implied probability on 22°C or higher.** Official and model guidance from sources such as timeanddate, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather project overnight lows of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 23–24°C amid lingering summer warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.
No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures well above the lower-probability buckets (20°C or below, collectively under 30%). Thunderstorm activity may enhance cloud cover and further moderate overnight minima. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, though minor downward revisions in model guidance could still shift odds toward the 20–21°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$295End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Jinan indicate the lowest temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, supporting the 53.5% market-implied probability on 22°C or higher.** Official and model guidance from sources such as timeanddate, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather project overnight lows of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 23–24°C amid lingering summer warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.
No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures well above the lower-probability buckets (20°C or below, collectively under 30%). Thunderstorm activity may enhance cloud cover and further moderate overnight minima. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, though minor downward revisions in model guidance could still shift odds toward the 20–21°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$295End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Jinan indicate the lowest temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, supporting the 53.5% market-implied probability on 22°C or higher.** Official and model guidance from sources such as timeanddate, AccuWeather, and BBC Weather project overnight lows of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 23–24°C amid lingering summer warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures well above the lower-probability buckets (20°C or below, collectively under 30%). Thunderstorm activity may enhance cloud cover and further moderate overnight minima. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, though minor downward revisions in model guidance could still shift odds toward the 20–21°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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