Forecast models from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate daytime highs of 32–35°C for August 23 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs often reach 30–34°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. The dominant market-implied odds above 26°C reflect strong model consensus on sustained solar heating and limited cooling from isolated convection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or widespread, prolonged rainfall exceeding current projections of 40–70% storm probability, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering patterns and thermal setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
26°C or higher 98.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 98.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$880 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$686 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$778 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate daytime highs of 32–35°C for August 23 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs often reach 30–34°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. The dominant market-implied odds above 26°C reflect strong model consensus on sustained solar heating and limited cooling from isolated convection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or widespread, prolonged rainfall exceeding current projections of 40–70% storm probability, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering patterns and thermal setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,933End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate daytime highs of 32–35°C for August 23 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs often reach 30–34°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. The dominant market-implied odds above 26°C reflect strong model consensus on sustained solar heating and limited cooling from isolated convection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or widespread, prolonged rainfall exceeding current projections of 40–70% storm probability, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering patterns and thermal setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,933End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate daytime highs of 32–35°C for August 23 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs often reach 30–34°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. The dominant market-implied odds above 26°C reflect strong model consensus on sustained solar heating and limited cooling from isolated convection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or widespread, prolonged rainfall exceeding current projections of 40–70% storm probability, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering patterns and thermal setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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