Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 14?
Lowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$22,080 Vol.
$22,080 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$22,080 Vol.
$22,080 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
$790 Vol.
No
8°C
$733 Vol.
No
9°C
$539 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,164 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,662 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,470 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,002 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$5,107 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,002 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,026 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$585 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,080End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,080End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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