Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across eastern Uttar Pradesh have kept Lucknow's daily minima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C, with official observations recording 25–26 °C lows amid 30–36 mm of rain on 1–2 September. Active low-pressure systems and easterly moisture inflow continue to favor widespread thundershowers through 5 September, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Short-range models show consensus on minimum temperatures of 24–26 °C, yet small differences in overnight rain timing or cloud thickness create divergence between outcomes below 22 °C and those near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because the precise minimum hinges on unresolved details of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture on the night of 4–5 September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
26°C 54%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
26°C 54%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across eastern Uttar Pradesh have kept Lucknow's daily minima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C, with official observations recording 25–26 °C lows amid 30–36 mm of rain on 1–2 September. Active low-pressure systems and easterly moisture inflow continue to favor widespread thundershowers through 5 September, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Short-range models show consensus on minimum temperatures of 24–26 °C, yet small differences in overnight rain timing or cloud thickness create divergence between outcomes below 22 °C and those near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because the precise minimum hinges on unresolved details of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture on the night of 4–5 September.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across eastern Uttar Pradesh have kept Lucknow's daily minima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C, with official observations recording 25–26 °C lows amid 30–36 mm of rain on 1–2 September. Active low-pressure systems and easterly moisture inflow continue to favor widespread thundershowers through 5 September, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Short-range models show consensus on minimum temperatures of 24–26 °C, yet small differences in overnight rain timing or cloud thickness create divergence between outcomes below 22 °C and those near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because the precise minimum hinges on unresolved details of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture on the night of 4–5 September.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across eastern Uttar Pradesh have kept Lucknow's daily minima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C, with official observations recording 25–26 °C lows amid 30–36 mm of rain on 1–2 September. Active low-pressure systems and easterly moisture inflow continue to favor widespread thundershowers through 5 September, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Short-range models show consensus on minimum temperatures of 24–26 °C, yet small differences in overnight rain timing or cloud thickness create divergence between outcomes below 22 °C and those near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because the precise minimum hinges on unresolved details of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture on the night of 4–5 September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions