Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with Lucknow recording minimums of 25–26°C on September 1 amid widespread thundershowers. India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 3 indicate continued overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, supporting a projected minimum near 26°C as enhanced moisture and reduced radiative cooling limit nighttime drops. Model consensus points to modest variability from steering winds and localized convection, while historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained wet conditions favoring 25–27°C outcomes against any brief clearing that could allow slightly lower readings, with new IMD updates and short-range model runs likely to refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
21°C or below 78%
31°C or higher 75%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
78%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
39%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
75%
21°C or below 78%
31°C or higher 75%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
78%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$7 Vol.
39%
28°C
$6 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with Lucknow recording minimums of 25–26°C on September 1 amid widespread thundershowers. India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 3 indicate continued overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, supporting a projected minimum near 26°C as enhanced moisture and reduced radiative cooling limit nighttime drops. Model consensus points to modest variability from steering winds and localized convection, while historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained wet conditions favoring 25–27°C outcomes against any brief clearing that could allow slightly lower readings, with new IMD updates and short-range model runs likely to refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$43End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with Lucknow recording minimums of 25–26°C on September 1 amid widespread thundershowers. India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 3 indicate continued overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, supporting a projected minimum near 26°C as enhanced moisture and reduced radiative cooling limit nighttime drops. Model consensus points to modest variability from steering winds and localized convection, while historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained wet conditions favoring 25–27°C outcomes against any brief clearing that could allow slightly lower readings, with new IMD updates and short-range model runs likely to refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with Lucknow recording minimums of 25–26°C on September 1 amid widespread thundershowers. India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 3 indicate continued overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, supporting a projected minimum near 26°C as enhanced moisture and reduced radiative cooling limit nighttime drops. Model consensus points to modest variability from steering winds and localized convection, while historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between sustained wet conditions favoring 25–27°C outcomes against any brief clearing that could allow slightly lower readings, with new IMD updates and short-range model runs likely to refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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