**Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and Mexico City's high elevation (around 2,240–2,300 m) are the dominant factors shaping overnight cooling, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum of 12–14°C on August 24.** Recent observations confirm similar lows of 12–15°C amid widespread overcast skies and light rain that limit radiative heat loss, while recent August minima have already reached 12°C. These conditions, combined with light variable winds and high humidity, support trader emphasis on the 12–14°C range, though market-implied odds on cooler outcomes incorporate uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized topographic effects. Updated model consensus and any revised official bulletins ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 75%
19°C or higher 48%
14°C 26%
13°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
75%
10°C
12%
11°C
9%
12°C
15%
13°C
20%
14°C
26%
15°C
20%
16°C
10%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C or higher
48%
9°C or below 75%
19°C or higher 48%
14°C 26%
13°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$55 Vol.
75%
10°C
$55 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$55 Vol.
7%
18°C
$135 Vol.
12%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and Mexico City's high elevation (around 2,240–2,300 m) are the dominant factors shaping overnight cooling, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum of 12–14°C on August 24.** Recent observations confirm similar lows of 12–15°C amid widespread overcast skies and light rain that limit radiative heat loss, while recent August minima have already reached 12°C. These conditions, combined with light variable winds and high humidity, support trader emphasis on the 12–14°C range, though market-implied odds on cooler outcomes incorporate uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized topographic effects. Updated model consensus and any revised official bulletins ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$305End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and Mexico City's high elevation (around 2,240–2,300 m) are the dominant factors shaping overnight cooling, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum of 12–14°C on August 24.** Recent observations confirm similar lows of 12–15°C amid widespread overcast skies and light rain that limit radiative heat loss, while recent August minima have already reached 12°C. These conditions, combined with light variable winds and high humidity, support trader emphasis on the 12–14°C range, though market-implied odds on cooler outcomes incorporate uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized topographic effects. Updated model consensus and any revised official bulletins ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$305End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rainy-season cloud cover and Mexico City's high elevation (around 2,240–2,300 m) are the dominant factors shaping overnight cooling, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum of 12–14°C on August 24.** Recent observations confirm similar lows of 12–15°C amid widespread overcast skies and light rain that limit radiative heat loss, while recent August minima have already reached 12°C. These conditions, combined with light variable winds and high humidity, support trader emphasis on the 12–14°C range, though market-implied odds on cooler outcomes incorporate uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized topographic effects. Updated model consensus and any revised official bulletins ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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