Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 point to a nighttime low near 12–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.2°C. This keeps the market tightly balanced between 3°C or below (48.5%) and 13°C or higher (44.5%), as traders weigh the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies against any increase in cloud cover or advection that could hold temperatures higher. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest wind speeds that limit mixing, while historical analogs indicate occasional drops below 5°C remain possible but uncommon this late in summer. Updated runs from national meteorological services will be key near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
3°C or below 88%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
88%
4°C
1%
5°C
23%
6°C
25%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C or higher
<1%
3°C or below 88%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
$35 Vol.
88%
4°C
$46 Vol.
1%
5°C
$70 Vol.
23%
6°C
$69 Vol.
25%
7°C
$22 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$17 Vol.
40%
13°C or higher
$347 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 point to a nighttime low near 12–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.2°C. This keeps the market tightly balanced between 3°C or below (48.5%) and 13°C or higher (44.5%), as traders weigh the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies against any increase in cloud cover or advection that could hold temperatures higher. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest wind speeds that limit mixing, while historical analogs indicate occasional drops below 5°C remain possible but uncommon this late in summer. Updated runs from national meteorological services will be key near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 point to a nighttime low near 12–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.2°C. This keeps the market tightly balanced between 3°C or below (48.5%) and 13°C or higher (44.5%), as traders weigh the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies against any increase in cloud cover or advection that could hold temperatures higher. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest wind speeds that limit mixing, while historical analogs indicate occasional drops below 5°C remain possible but uncommon this late in summer. Updated runs from national meteorological services will be key near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 point to a nighttime low near 12–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.2°C. This keeps the market tightly balanced between 3°C or below (48.5%) and 13°C or higher (44.5%), as traders weigh the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies against any increase in cloud cover or advection that could hold temperatures higher. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest wind speeds that limit mixing, while historical analogs indicate occasional drops below 5°C remain possible but uncommon this late in summer. Updated runs from national meteorological services will be key near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions