Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daily minimum on September 26 will likely fall between 5°C and 8°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–24°C. This range aligns with climatological averages for late September while reflecting a cooler-than-normal stretch earlier in the month, including a 0.2°C reading on the 23rd. Trader odds near 50% for both sub-zero and 10°C-plus outcomes highlight model spread in boundary-layer details—such as exact dew-point depression, urban heat retention, and any late-arriving cloud cover or wind shifts—that could nudge the minimum across key thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 26?
10°C or higher 98%
2°C 40%
3°C 40%
1°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
38%
2°C
40%
3°C
40%
4°C
38%
5°C
38%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
38%
10°C or higher
98%
10°C or higher 98%
2°C 40%
3°C 40%
1°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
0°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$0 Vol.
38%
2°C
$0 Vol.
40%
3°C
$0 Vol.
40%
4°C
$0 Vol.
38%
5°C
$0 Vol.
38%
6°C
$0 Vol.
38%
7°C
$0 Vol.
38%
8°C
$0 Vol.
38%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daily minimum on September 26 will likely fall between 5°C and 8°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–24°C. This range aligns with climatological averages for late September while reflecting a cooler-than-normal stretch earlier in the month, including a 0.2°C reading on the 23rd. Trader odds near 50% for both sub-zero and 10°C-plus outcomes highlight model spread in boundary-layer details—such as exact dew-point depression, urban heat retention, and any late-arriving cloud cover or wind shifts—that could nudge the minimum across key thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daily minimum on September 26 will likely fall between 5°C and 8°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–24°C. This range aligns with climatological averages for late September while reflecting a cooler-than-normal stretch earlier in the month, including a 0.2°C reading on the 23rd. Trader odds near 50% for both sub-zero and 10°C-plus outcomes highlight model spread in boundary-layer details—such as exact dew-point depression, urban heat retention, and any late-arriving cloud cover or wind shifts—that could nudge the minimum across key thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daily minimum on September 26 will likely fall between 5°C and 8°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–24°C. This range aligns with climatological averages for late September while reflecting a cooler-than-normal stretch earlier in the month, including a 0.2°C reading on the 23rd. Trader odds near 50% for both sub-zero and 10°C-plus outcomes highlight model spread in boundary-layer details—such as exact dew-point depression, urban heat retention, and any late-arriving cloud cover or wind shifts—that could nudge the minimum across key thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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