Forecast models from multiple sources project Qingdao's minimum temperature on August 23 near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and frequent cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions sustain warm overnight readings, consistent with the current late-summer pattern of elevated temperatures and minimal diurnal range. Differentiation among closely matched market outcomes around 25–27°C hinges on small variations in wind speed, timing of any clearing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could shave 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh model spread and historical August variability against the strong consensus for above-average minima. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
21°C or below 36%
26°C 24%
25°C 22%
27°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
36%
22°C
9%
23°C
7%
24°C
8%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
19%
28°C
13%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 36%
26°C 24%
25°C 22%
27°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
36%
22°C
$11 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$16 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$32 Vol.
17%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Qingdao's minimum temperature on August 23 near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and frequent cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions sustain warm overnight readings, consistent with the current late-summer pattern of elevated temperatures and minimal diurnal range. Differentiation among closely matched market outcomes around 25–27°C hinges on small variations in wind speed, timing of any clearing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could shave 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh model spread and historical August variability against the strong consensus for above-average minima. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$100End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Qingdao's minimum temperature on August 23 near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and frequent cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions sustain warm overnight readings, consistent with the current late-summer pattern of elevated temperatures and minimal diurnal range. Differentiation among closely matched market outcomes around 25–27°C hinges on small variations in wind speed, timing of any clearing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could shave 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh model spread and historical August variability against the strong consensus for above-average minima. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project Qingdao's minimum temperature on August 23 near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and frequent cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions sustain warm overnight readings, consistent with the current late-summer pattern of elevated temperatures and minimal diurnal range. Differentiation among closely matched market outcomes around 25–27°C hinges on small variations in wind speed, timing of any clearing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could shave 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh model spread and historical August variability against the strong consensus for above-average minima. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions