Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Incheon International Airport station—the official measurement site—confirm Seoul's morning minimum temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 9°C under clear skies and light southerly winds that facilitated standard radiational cooling overnight. This aligns precisely with converged short-term forecast models projecting lows of 9–11°C amid dominant high pressure and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which tempers deeper chills typical of late April climatology (historical morning minima averaging 8–10°C). Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 9°C reflects this verified data and rapid daytime warming to around 20°C, leaving scant room for revision. An anomalous late-night cold surge from shifting winds could challenge it, though stable model ensembles deem this highly unlikely as the daily low window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on April 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 25?
9°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$35,926 Vol.
$35,926 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$35,926 Vol.
$35,926 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
8°C or below
$8,792 Vol.
No
9°C
$13,596 Vol.
Yes
10°C
$975 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,739 Vol.
No
12°C
$650 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,686 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,607 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,546 Vol.
No
16°C
$674 Vol.
No
17°C
$460 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$4,200 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Incheon International Airport station—the official measurement site—confirm Seoul's morning minimum temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 9°C under clear skies and light southerly winds that facilitated standard radiational cooling overnight. This aligns precisely with converged short-term forecast models projecting lows of 9–11°C amid dominant high pressure and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which tempers deeper chills typical of late April climatology (historical morning minima averaging 8–10°C). Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 9°C reflects this verified data and rapid daytime warming to around 20°C, leaving scant room for revision. An anomalous late-night cold surge from shifting winds could challenge it, though stable model ensembles deem this highly unlikely as the daily low window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$35,926End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Incheon International Airport station—the official measurement site—confirm Seoul's morning minimum temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 9°C under clear skies and light southerly winds that facilitated standard radiational cooling overnight. This aligns precisely with converged short-term forecast models projecting lows of 9–11°C amid dominant high pressure and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which tempers deeper chills typical of late April climatology (historical morning minima averaging 8–10°C). Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 9°C reflects this verified data and rapid daytime warming to around 20°C, leaving scant room for revision. An anomalous late-night cold surge from shifting winds could challenge it, though stable model ensembles deem this highly unlikely as the daily low window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,926End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Incheon International Airport station—the official measurement site—confirm Seoul's morning minimum temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 9°C under clear skies and light southerly winds that facilitated standard radiational cooling overnight. This aligns precisely with converged short-term forecast models projecting lows of 9–11°C amid dominant high pressure and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which tempers deeper chills typical of late April climatology (historical morning minima averaging 8–10°C). Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 9°C reflects this verified data and rapid daytime warming to around 20°C, leaving scant room for revision. An anomalous late-night cold surge from shifting winds could challenge it, though stable model ensembles deem this highly unlikely as the daily low window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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