Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 30?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$57,111 Vol.
$57,111 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$57,111 Vol.
$57,111 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
16°C or below
$571 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,118 Vol.
No
18°C
$837 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,311 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,391 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,413 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,726 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$1,770 Vol.
No
24°C
$37,030 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,276 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$668 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$57,111End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,111End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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