Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 13 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity with dew points around 24°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Thunderstorm activity and light rain further moderate temperature drops by enhancing atmospheric mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima of 24–26°C under similar conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 28°C and 22°C outcomes as the main points of uncertainty. Clearer skies or stronger winds could allow brief dips toward 22–23°C, while sustained overcast and precipitation would favor 27–28°C. No major frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
24°C 100%
21°C or below 85%
23°C 84%
22°C 81%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
85%
22°C
81%
23°C
84%
24°C
100%
25°C
42%
26°C
37%
27°C
37%
28°C
52%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100%
21°C or below 85%
23°C 84%
22°C 81%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
22°C
$0 Vol.
81%
23°C
$15 Vol.
84%
24°C
$65 Vol.
100%
25°C
$20 Vol.
42%
26°C
$10 Vol.
37%
27°C
$11 Vol.
37%
28°C
$105 Vol.
52%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 13 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity with dew points around 24°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Thunderstorm activity and light rain further moderate temperature drops by enhancing atmospheric mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima of 24–26°C under similar conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 28°C and 22°C outcomes as the main points of uncertainty. Clearer skies or stronger winds could allow brief dips toward 22–23°C, while sustained overcast and precipitation would favor 27–28°C. No major frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$271End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 13 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity with dew points around 24°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Thunderstorm activity and light rain further moderate temperature drops by enhancing atmospheric mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima of 24–26°C under similar conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 28°C and 22°C outcomes as the main points of uncertainty. Clearer skies or stronger winds could allow brief dips toward 22–23°C, while sustained overcast and precipitation would favor 27–28°C. No major frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$271End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 13 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity with dew points around 24°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Thunderstorm activity and light rain further moderate temperature drops by enhancing atmospheric mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima of 24–26°C under similar conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 28°C and 22°C outcomes as the main points of uncertainty. Clearer skies or stronger winds could allow brief dips toward 22–23°C, while sustained overcast and precipitation would favor 27–28°C. No major frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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