Forecast models show notable divergence for Wuhan's overnight low on September 16, with some projecting minima near 18–20°C amid increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, while others indicate stronger cooling to 17°C or below if a frontal boundary arrives earlier. Recent observations note a gradual temperature decline from mid-September peaks above 30°C, driven by shifting subtropical high pressure and rising humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Precipitation chances remain low during the day but increase overnight, potentially accelerating the drop depending on exact timing and model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. This uncertainty between mild transitional conditions and sharper cooling explains the near-even market split between sub-18°C and higher outcomes. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will likely clarify the primary variables of wind shear and cloud persistence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
27°C or higher 55%
17°C or below 54%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
54%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
27%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
21%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
55%
27°C or higher 55%
17°C or below 54%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
54%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
34%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show notable divergence for Wuhan's overnight low on September 16, with some projecting minima near 18–20°C amid increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, while others indicate stronger cooling to 17°C or below if a frontal boundary arrives earlier. Recent observations note a gradual temperature decline from mid-September peaks above 30°C, driven by shifting subtropical high pressure and rising humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Precipitation chances remain low during the day but increase overnight, potentially accelerating the drop depending on exact timing and model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. This uncertainty between mild transitional conditions and sharper cooling explains the near-even market split between sub-18°C and higher outcomes. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will likely clarify the primary variables of wind shear and cloud persistence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show notable divergence for Wuhan's overnight low on September 16, with some projecting minima near 18–20°C amid increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, while others indicate stronger cooling to 17°C or below if a frontal boundary arrives earlier. Recent observations note a gradual temperature decline from mid-September peaks above 30°C, driven by shifting subtropical high pressure and rising humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Precipitation chances remain low during the day but increase overnight, potentially accelerating the drop depending on exact timing and model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. This uncertainty between mild transitional conditions and sharper cooling explains the near-even market split between sub-18°C and higher outcomes. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will likely clarify the primary variables of wind shear and cloud persistence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show notable divergence for Wuhan's overnight low on September 16, with some projecting minima near 18–20°C amid increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, while others indicate stronger cooling to 17°C or below if a frontal boundary arrives earlier. Recent observations note a gradual temperature decline from mid-September peaks above 30°C, driven by shifting subtropical high pressure and rising humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Precipitation chances remain low during the day but increase overnight, potentially accelerating the drop depending on exact timing and model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. This uncertainty between mild transitional conditions and sharper cooling explains the near-even market split between sub-18°C and higher outcomes. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will likely clarify the primary variables of wind shear and cloud persistence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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