Trader consensus on Polymarket favors center-right candidate Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's May 24-25 municipal election, positioning him ahead of center-left challenger Andrea Martella (37.5%) amid a likely runoff. Recent polling shows Venturini leading 36%-30% in the first round, bolstered by late March endorsements from centrist Azione and the Liberaldemocratici parties, enhancing coalition unity under outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration. Over the past two weeks, both frontrunners intensified campaigns on key local issues—housing shortages, neighborhood safety, tourism regulation, and Porto Marghera's economy—while economist Michele Boldrin's independent Ora! bid (4.3%) draws limited outsider support. The race remains competitive, with incumbency advantage and unified backing tilting odds toward Venturini.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors center-right candidate Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's May 24-25 municipal election, positioning him ahead of center-left challenger Andrea Martella (37.5%) amid a likely runoff. Recent polling shows Venturini leading 36%-30% in the first round, bolstered by late March endorsements from centrist Azione and the Liberaldemocratici parties, enhancing coalition unity under outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration. Over the past two weeks, both frontrunners intensified campaigns on key local issues—housing shortages, neighborhood safety, tourism regulation, and Porto Marghera's economy—while economist Michele Boldrin's independent Ora! bid (4.3%) draws limited outsider support. The race remains competitive, with incumbency advantage and unified backing tilting odds toward Venturini.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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