Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the Venice mayoral race, driven by centre-right coalition unity behind him—including Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, and Azione's recent endorsement—as outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration ends its term. Recent polls, such as those from BiDiMedia and Demetra in late March and early April, show Venturini ahead at 36-52% in the first round, positioning him for a potential outright win or strong runoff edge over centre-left challenger Andrea Martella (37.5%), who launched a housing and safety plan on April 13 amid suburban campaign pushes. Fragmented civic candidacies like Michele Boldrin's keep others below 5%, with the May 24-25 first round looming as the key test under Italy's two-round municipal system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the Venice mayoral race, driven by centre-right coalition unity behind him—including Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, and Azione's recent endorsement—as outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration ends its term. Recent polls, such as those from BiDiMedia and Demetra in late March and early April, show Venturini ahead at 36-52% in the first round, positioning him for a potential outright win or strong runoff edge over centre-left challenger Andrea Martella (37.5%), who launched a housing and safety plan on April 13 amid suburban campaign pushes. Fragmented civic candidacies like Michele Boldrin's keep others below 5%, with the May 24-25 first round looming as the key test under Italy's two-round municipal system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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