Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31?

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YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$89,261 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$89,261 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$3,886 Vol.

No

Job 10+ times

$2,413 Vol.

No

Nuclear 4+ times

$1,732 Vol.

Yes

Iran 4+ times

$761 Vol.

Yes

Easter 3+ times

$1,701 Vol.

No

Biden / Obama 4+ times

$3,801 Vol.

Yes

Hell 3+ times

$2,283 Vol.

Yes

China

$5,097 Vol.

Yes

Chicago

$1,674 Vol.

Yes

Pool

$11,854 Vol.

Yes

Peace

$809 Vol.

No

Fake News

$3,119 Vol.

No

Oil

$2,095 Vol.

Yes

Ballroom

$16,291 Vol.

Yes

Kennedy

$2,011 Vol.

No

Elon / Musk

$3,237 Vol.

Yes

Strait / Hormuz

$650 Vol.

Yes

Autopen

$1,943 Vol.

No

NATO

$3,384 Vol.

No

Tariff

$1,862 Vol.

No

Boots on the ground

$1,740 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$1,813 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$10,269 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$4,835 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump signed the "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections" executive order yesterday in the Oval Office, directing DHS and SSA to provide states with lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote, prioritizing DOJ prosecutions for non-citizen voting, and requiring USPS to implement secure, trackable mail-in ballots via unique barcodes within 60 days. During his 41-minute remarks, Trump emphasized fraud prevention and voter ID support but digressed extensively to border security, crime reductions in cities like Washington DC, transgender policies in sports, Iran regime change amid nuclear threats—repeating "nuclear" 12 times—and White House ballroom renovations. Traders assess resolution risks based on his characteristic rhetorical patterns, with legal challenges anticipated ahead of 2026 midterms.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,261
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump signed the "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections" executive order yesterday in the Oval Office, directing DHS and SSA to provide states with lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote, prioritizing DOJ prosecutions for non-citizen voting, and requiring USPS to implement secure, trackable mail-in ballots via unique barcodes within 60 days. During his 41-minute remarks, Trump emphasized fraud prevention and voter ID support but digressed extensively to border security, crime reductions in cities like Washington DC, transgender policies in sports, Iran regime change amid nuclear threats—repeating "nuclear" 12 times—and White House ballroom renovations. Traders assess resolution risks based on his characteristic rhetorical patterns, with legal challenges anticipated ahead of 2026 midterms.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,261
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nuclear 4+ times" at 100%, followed by "Iran 4+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " has generated $89.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? ," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is "Nuclear 4+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iran 4+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.