Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

NEW
Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$1,901 Vol.

Polymarket

God 3+ times

$3 Vol.

44%

Oil / Gas 3+ times

$407 Vol.

74%

Objective / Goal 3+ times

$15 Vol.

45%

Operation Epic Fury

$837 Vol.

93%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$5 Vol.

39%

Proxy / Hezbollah

$5 Vol.

45%

Bibi / Netanyahu

$5 Vol.

43%

Ceasefire / Peace Deal

$70 Vol.

66%

Six Seven

$86 Vol.

14%

Hormuz

$179 Vol.

85%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$31 Vol.

48%

Kharg / Island

$0 Vol.

45%

Peace Through Strength

$0 Vol.

46%

Fake News

$8 Vol.

42%

Obliterated / Obliteration

$42 Vol.

79%

Mission Accomplished

$1 Vol.

30%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$188 Vol.

7%

-No Qualifying Event-

$35 Vol.

3%

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9:00 p.m. ET on April 1, 2026, providing an important update on the ongoing Iran war, as announced by the White House earlier today amid U.S. and Israeli military operations. Recent developments include U.S. strikes on Iranian steel plants in Isfahan, an IRGC deadline targeting U.S. companies, and Trump's March 31 statement that the offensive could conclude in two to three weeks without ground troops, shifting Strait of Hormuz reopening to allies. Extended deadlines for energy site attacks signal potential de-escalation, with traders focused on phrasing around operations like Epic Fury, oil impacts, Hormuz, and victory terms like "obliterated" or "ceasefire." The address aligns with standard procedures for active conflicts, resolving markets post-speech transcript.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,901
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9:00 p.m. ET on April 1, 2026, providing an important update on the ongoing Iran war, as announced by the White House earlier today amid U.S. and Israeli military operations. Recent developments include U.S. strikes on Iranian steel plants in Isfahan, an IRGC deadline targeting U.S. companies, and Trump's March 31 statement that the offensive could conclude in two to three weeks without ground troops, shifting Strait of Hormuz reopening to allies. Extended deadlines for energy site attacks signal potential de-escalation, with traders focused on phrasing around operations like Epic Fury, oil impacts, Hormuz, and victory terms like "obliterated" or "ceasefire." The address aligns with standard procedures for active conflicts, resolving markets post-speech transcript.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,901
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Operation Epic Fury" at 93%, followed by "Hormuz" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? ," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is "Operation Epic Fury" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hormuz" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.