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Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Market icon

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

$196,485 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$196,485 Vol.

Polymarket

Sabrina Carpenter

$576 Vol.

87%

Patrick Mahomes

$1,021 Vol.

88%

Jack Antonoff

$10,668 Vol.

85%

Selena Gomez

$27,419 Vol.

84%

Brittany Mahomes

$10,977 Vol.

82%

Este Haim

$19,724 Vol.

77%

Lana Del Rey

$47,685 Vol.

75%

Max Martin

$0 Vol.

68%

Danielle Haim

$58 Vol.

76%

Jared Goff

$327 Vol.

44%

Blake Lively

$77,497 Vol.

27%

Andrew Tate

$234 Vol.

3%

Phoebe Bridgers

$57 Vol.

38%

Gracie Abrams

$241 Vol.

57%

Alana Haim

$0 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count. Trader sentiment in the Polymarket on attendees at Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's rumored wedding heavily favors close inner-circle figures like Sabrina Carpenter (87% implied probability), Jack Antonoff (86%), Patrick Mahomes (81-91%), and Selena Gomez (82%), reflecting their deep personal and professional ties—Swift's frequent collaborator Antonoff, tourmate Carpenter, longtime friend Gomez, and Kelce's Chiefs teammate Mahomes. Recent Page Six reports from April 9 claim save-the-dates for a July 3 New York City ceremony have gone out to about 150 guests, boosting optimism despite no official announcement from the couple, who got engaged in August 2025 per timelines. High uncertainty persists in celebrity personal matters, with tabloid snub rumors (e.g., Blake Lively) unverified; watch for social media posts or direct statements as catalysts ahead of a potential summer 2026 event.

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Volume
$196,485
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count. Trader sentiment in the Polymarket on attendees at Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's rumored wedding heavily favors close inner-circle figures like Sabrina Carpenter (87% implied probability), Jack Antonoff (86%), Patrick Mahomes (81-91%), and Selena Gomez (82%), reflecting their deep personal and professional ties—Swift's frequent collaborator Antonoff, tourmate Carpenter, longtime friend Gomez, and Kelce's Chiefs teammate Mahomes. Recent Page Six reports from April 9 claim save-the-dates for a July 3 New York City ceremony have gone out to about 150 guests, boosting optimism despite no official announcement from the couple, who got engaged in August 2025 per timelines. High uncertainty persists in celebrity personal matters, with tabloid snub rumors (e.g., Blake Lively) unverified; watch for social media posts or direct statements as catalysts ahead of a potential summer 2026 event.

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Volume
$196,485
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Patrick Mahomes" at 88%, followed by "Sabrina Carpenter" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" has generated $196.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" is "Patrick Mahomes" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sabrina Carpenter" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.