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icon for Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Politics·Primaries

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

icon for Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Politics·Primaries

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Janeese Lewis George 100.0%

Kenyan McDuffie <1%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$154,625 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 100.0%

Kenyan McDuffie <1%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$154,625 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$18,152 Vol.

Yes

Kenyan McDuffie

$35,036 Vol.

No

Brianne K. Nadeau

$4,550 Vol.

No

Karl Racine

$3,446 Vol.

No

Zachary Parker

$2,935 Vol.

No

Brooke Pinto

$17,735 Vol.

No

Muriel Bowser

$3,292 Vol.

No

Robert White Jr.

$6,552 Vol.

No

Gary Goodweather

$20,159 Vol.

No

Christina Henderson

$35,516 Vol.

No

Phil Mendelson

$3,990 Vol.

No

Brian Schwalb

$3,261 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding lead in the June 16, 2026, Democratic primary for D.C. mayor following incumbent Muriel Bowser’s retirement after three terms. Early returns with roughly two-thirds of votes counted show her at approximately 53% compared to Kenyan McDuffie’s 37%, consistent with pre-election polling and her record-breaking individual donor base. Her “people-first” platform emphasizing housing production, tenant protections, affordable childcare, and utility cost relief mobilized strong grassroots support in a ranked-choice primary. Traders price her victory near certainty at 98.5% because no other candidate has demonstrated a viable path to overtake her in the remaining ballots. Late shifts remain theoretically possible through unusually skewed outstanding precincts or procedural delays, though current trends make such reversals highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$154,625
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding lead in the June 16, 2026, Democratic primary for D.C. mayor following incumbent Muriel Bowser’s retirement after three terms. Early returns with roughly two-thirds of votes counted show her at approximately 53% compared to Kenyan McDuffie’s 37%, consistent with pre-election polling and her record-breaking individual donor base. Her “people-first” platform emphasizing housing production, tenant protections, affordable childcare, and utility cost relief mobilized strong grassroots support in a ranked-choice primary. Traders price her victory near certainty at 98.5% because no other candidate has demonstrated a viable path to overtake her in the remaining ballots. Late shifts remain theoretically possible through unusually skewed outstanding precincts or procedural delays, though current trends make such reversals highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$154,625
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 100%, followed by "Kenyan McDuffie" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" has generated $154.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" is "Janeese Lewis George" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kenyan McDuffie" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.