Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 32°C on April 15, driven by the latest BMKG 7-day forecast indicating light rain (hujan ringan) across central Jakarta with temperatures of 24–30°C and 71–95% humidity, tempered by recent observations of 32°C on April 14 amid patchy rain. International models like AccuWeather align closely, projecting a 89°F (32°C) high with afternoon thunderstorms (61% chance), reflecting urban heat island amplification in the tropical monsoon climate where April averages hover near 31°C. Key uncertainty stems from cloud cover suppressing peaks or brief sun intervals pushing toward 33°C (24.5%), with resolution hinging on official BMKG station data; watch for intraday forecast updates from NOAA or ECMWF ensembles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
32°C 40%
31°C 26%
33°C 25%
34°C or higher 7%
$17,958 Vol.
$17,958 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 40%
31°C 26%
33°C 25%
34°C or higher 7%
$17,958 Vol.
$17,958 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 32°C on April 15, driven by the latest BMKG 7-day forecast indicating light rain (hujan ringan) across central Jakarta with temperatures of 24–30°C and 71–95% humidity, tempered by recent observations of 32°C on April 14 amid patchy rain. International models like AccuWeather align closely, projecting a 89°F (32°C) high with afternoon thunderstorms (61% chance), reflecting urban heat island amplification in the tropical monsoon climate where April averages hover near 31°C. Key uncertainty stems from cloud cover suppressing peaks or brief sun intervals pushing toward 33°C (24.5%), with resolution hinging on official BMKG station data; watch for intraday forecast updates from NOAA or ECMWF ensembles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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