Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts a high temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, aligning with AccuWeather's 27°C peak and driving the 99.4% market-implied probability for 19°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement. Current atmospheric conditions feature a low-pressure channel fostering instability but no cold fronts or northerly surges to suppress daytime heating, consistent with recent highs of 27–29°C on April 14 amid spring warming trends at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where April averages hover around 25–26°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen intensification of showers causing evaporative cooling or a sudden wind shift, though probabilities remain minimal per forecast ensembles; monitor hourly updates from official stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?
19°C or higher 99.4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$246,719 Vol.
$246,719 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
99%
19°C or higher 99.4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$246,719 Vol.
$246,719 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts a high temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, aligning with AccuWeather's 27°C peak and driving the 99.4% market-implied probability for 19°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement. Current atmospheric conditions feature a low-pressure channel fostering instability but no cold fronts or northerly surges to suppress daytime heating, consistent with recent highs of 27–29°C on April 14 amid spring warming trends at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where April averages hover around 25–26°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen intensification of showers causing evaporative cooling or a sudden wind shift, though probabilities remain minimal per forecast ensembles; monitor hourly updates from official stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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