The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature on April 15 at 14°C amid mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers likely (20-50% precipitation probability) and highs near 21°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 28.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects current mild southerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling overnight, elevating lows above the mid-April climatological normal of 9.7°C. High uncertainty across the distribution arises from mesoscale forecast divergences: denser clouds or added moisture from showers could hold at 15°C (14.1%), while brief clears or northerly gusts might dip to 13°C (6.6%) or 17°C (8.4%); extremes below 10°C or above 18°C remain improbable given model ensembles. Hourly JMA updates through early April 15 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 avril ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 avril ?
16°C 34%
15°C 21.2%
14°C 9.0%
17°C 5.0%
NOUVEAU
$39,712 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$39,712 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
23%
15°C
21%
16°C
37%
17°C
5%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 34%
15°C 21.2%
14°C 9.0%
17°C 5.0%
NOUVEAU
$39,712 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$39,712 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
$3,130 Vol.
2%
11°C
$823 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,353 Vol.
2%
13°C
$920 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,347 Vol.
23%
15°C
$1,379 Vol.
21%
16°C
$1,334 Vol.
37%
17°C
$451 Vol.
5%
18°C
$3,996 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,719 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou plus
$17,516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature on April 15 at 14°C amid mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers likely (20-50% precipitation probability) and highs near 21°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 28.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects current mild southerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling overnight, elevating lows above the mid-April climatological normal of 9.7°C. High uncertainty across the distribution arises from mesoscale forecast divergences: denser clouds or added moisture from showers could hold at 15°C (14.1%), while brief clears or northerly gusts might dip to 13°C (6.6%) or 17°C (8.4%); extremes below 10°C or above 18°C remain improbable given model ensembles. Hourly JMA updates through early April 15 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$39,712Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature on April 15 at 14°C amid mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers likely (20-50% precipitation probability) and highs near 21°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 28.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects current mild southerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling overnight, elevating lows above the mid-April climatological normal of 9.7°C. High uncertainty across the distribution arises from mesoscale forecast divergences: denser clouds or added moisture from showers could hold at 15°C (14.1%), while brief clears or northerly gusts might dip to 13°C (6.6%) or 17°C (8.4%); extremes below 10°C or above 18°C remain improbable given model ensembles. Hourly JMA updates through early April 15 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,712Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature on April 15 at 14°C amid mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers likely (20-50% precipitation probability) and highs near 21°C, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 28.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects current mild southerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling overnight, elevating lows above the mid-April climatological normal of 9.7°C. High uncertainty across the distribution arises from mesoscale forecast divergences: denser clouds or added moisture from showers could hold at 15°C (14.1%), while brief clears or northerly gusts might dip to 13°C (6.6%) or 17°C (8.4%); extremes below 10°C or above 18°C remain improbable given model ensembles. Hourly JMA updates through early April 15 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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