Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (28%) and 14°C (27.4%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which cluster overnight lows around 14-15°C amid northerly winds at 10-15 km/h and partial cloud cover. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show ECMWF favoring slightly more radiative cooling under clearer skies for a potential 14°C dip, while GFS projects persistent low-level clouds holding at 15°C; both align with China Meteorological Administration guidance after cold air advection cooled Shanghai to 13-14°C lows on April 13-14. High spring humidity near 80% tempers extremes, with historical April minima averaging 11-13°C but recent trends warmer. Watch evening CMA updates for resolution-defining refinements from Xujiahui Observatory measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 15 avril ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 15 avril ?
14°C 26.3%
13°C 24.9%
15°C 19%
12°C 5.9%
NOUVEAU
$27,752 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$27,752 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
9°C ou moins
3%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
29%
15°C
14%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C ou plus
1%
14°C 26.3%
13°C 24.9%
15°C 19%
12°C 5.9%
NOUVEAU
$27,752 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$27,752 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
9°C ou moins
$962 Vol.
3%
10°C
$1,533 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,636 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,240 Vol.
6%
13°C
$759 Vol.
25%
14°C
$1,389 Vol.
29%
15°C
$809 Vol.
14%
16°C
$1,055 Vol.
2%
17°C
$871 Vol.
2%
18°C
$4,354 Vol.
1%
19°C ou plus
$13,173 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (28%) and 14°C (27.4%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which cluster overnight lows around 14-15°C amid northerly winds at 10-15 km/h and partial cloud cover. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show ECMWF favoring slightly more radiative cooling under clearer skies for a potential 14°C dip, while GFS projects persistent low-level clouds holding at 15°C; both align with China Meteorological Administration guidance after cold air advection cooled Shanghai to 13-14°C lows on April 13-14. High spring humidity near 80% tempers extremes, with historical April minima averaging 11-13°C but recent trends warmer. Watch evening CMA updates for resolution-defining refinements from Xujiahui Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$27,752Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (28%) and 14°C (27.4%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which cluster overnight lows around 14-15°C amid northerly winds at 10-15 km/h and partial cloud cover. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show ECMWF favoring slightly more radiative cooling under clearer skies for a potential 14°C dip, while GFS projects persistent low-level clouds holding at 15°C; both align with China Meteorological Administration guidance after cold air advection cooled Shanghai to 13-14°C lows on April 13-14. High spring humidity near 80% tempers extremes, with historical April minima averaging 11-13°C but recent trends warmer. Watch evening CMA updates for resolution-defining refinements from Xujiahui Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,752Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (28%) and 14°C (27.4%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which cluster overnight lows around 14-15°C amid northerly winds at 10-15 km/h and partial cloud cover. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show ECMWF favoring slightly more radiative cooling under clearer skies for a potential 14°C dip, while GFS projects persistent low-level clouds holding at 15°C; both align with China Meteorological Administration guidance after cold air advection cooled Shanghai to 13-14°C lows on April 13-14. High spring humidity near 80% tempers extremes, with historical April minima averaging 11-13°C but recent trends warmer. Watch evening CMA updates for resolution-defining refinements from Xujiahui Observatory measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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