Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast of a 16°C maximum in London on April 14 amid sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal daytime rain risk, closely aligning with BBC Weather's 16°C projection and explaining the narrow lead for 16°C (30%) over 17°C (27.5%) and 15°C (22.5%). Following an exceptional early April heatwave peaking above 26°C, cooler southwesterly Atlantic air masses have moderated recent highs to 14°C on April 12-13, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence due to variable cloud cover and shower timing that could enhance insolation for 17°C or limit it to 15°C via increased albedo. Key differentiators include afternoon frontal boundary positioning and boundary layer mixing; monitor Met Office hourly updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of the 2-4pm peak heating window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 14 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 14 avril ?
16°C 28%
17°C 27%
15°C 22%
18°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
22%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
22%
19°C
6%
20°C ou plus
4%
16°C 28%
17°C 27%
15°C 22%
18°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
$673 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,031 Vol.
1%
12°C
$600 Vol.
1%
13°C
$335 Vol.
2%
14°C
$376 Vol.
12%
15°C
$426 Vol.
22%
16°C
$458 Vol.
28%
17°C
$343 Vol.
27%
18°C
$841 Vol.
22%
19°C
$217 Vol.
6%
20°C ou plus
$651 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast of a 16°C maximum in London on April 14 amid sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal daytime rain risk, closely aligning with BBC Weather's 16°C projection and explaining the narrow lead for 16°C (30%) over 17°C (27.5%) and 15°C (22.5%). Following an exceptional early April heatwave peaking above 26°C, cooler southwesterly Atlantic air masses have moderated recent highs to 14°C on April 12-13, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence due to variable cloud cover and shower timing that could enhance insolation for 17°C or limit it to 15°C via increased albedo. Key differentiators include afternoon frontal boundary positioning and boundary layer mixing; monitor Met Office hourly updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of the 2-4pm peak heating window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,194Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast of a 16°C maximum in London on April 14 amid sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal daytime rain risk, closely aligning with BBC Weather's 16°C projection and explaining the narrow lead for 16°C (30%) over 17°C (27.5%) and 15°C (22.5%). Following an exceptional early April heatwave peaking above 26°C, cooler southwesterly Atlantic air masses have moderated recent highs to 14°C on April 12-13, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence due to variable cloud cover and shower timing that could enhance insolation for 17°C or limit it to 15°C via increased albedo. Key differentiators include afternoon frontal boundary positioning and boundary layer mixing; monitor Met Office hourly updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of the 2-4pm peak heating window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,194Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast of a 16°C maximum in London on April 14 amid sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal daytime rain risk, closely aligning with BBC Weather's 16°C projection and explaining the narrow lead for 16°C (30%) over 17°C (27.5%) and 15°C (22.5%). Following an exceptional early April heatwave peaking above 26°C, cooler southwesterly Atlantic air masses have moderated recent highs to 14°C on April 12-13, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence due to variable cloud cover and shower timing that could enhance insolation for 17°C or limit it to 15°C via increased albedo. Key differentiators include afternoon frontal boundary positioning and boundary layer mixing; monitor Met Office hourly updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of the 2-4pm peak heating window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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