Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mid-50s°F high temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6 at the highest implied probabilities, with 54-55°F (27%) edging 56-57°F (23%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus amid a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Recent April 2-4 observations logged highs in the upper 40s to low 50s°F following a cold front, transitioning to partly cloudy conditions with light onshore flow that caps warming potential below seasonal norms of ~57°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push toward 58-59°F (16.5%), while thicker stratus favors 52-53°F (16.5%)—and subtle wind shifts; new 00z/12z runs expected April 5-6 may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
54-55°F 28%
56-57°F 25%
52-53°F 16%
58-59°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 28%
56-57°F 25%
52-53°F 16%
58-59°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
47°F or below
$1,057 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$494 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$767 Vol.
9%
52-53°F
$1,025 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$996 Vol.
28%
56-57°F
$767 Vol.
25%
58-59°F
$660 Vol.
16%
60-61°F
$468 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$830 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$520 Vol.
3%
66°F or higher
$2,002 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mid-50s°F high temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6 at the highest implied probabilities, with 54-55°F (27%) edging 56-57°F (23%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus amid a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Recent April 2-4 observations logged highs in the upper 40s to low 50s°F following a cold front, transitioning to partly cloudy conditions with light onshore flow that caps warming potential below seasonal norms of ~57°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push toward 58-59°F (16.5%), while thicker stratus favors 52-53°F (16.5%)—and subtle wind shifts; new 00z/12z runs expected April 5-6 may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,569Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mid-50s°F high temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6 at the highest implied probabilities, with 54-55°F (27%) edging 56-57°F (23%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus amid a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Recent April 2-4 observations logged highs in the upper 40s to low 50s°F following a cold front, transitioning to partly cloudy conditions with light onshore flow that caps warming potential below seasonal norms of ~57°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push toward 58-59°F (16.5%), while thicker stratus favors 52-53°F (16.5%)—and subtle wind shifts; new 00z/12z runs expected April 5-6 may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,569Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mid-50s°F high temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 6 at the highest implied probabilities, with 54-55°F (27%) edging 56-57°F (23%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus amid a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Recent April 2-4 observations logged highs in the upper 40s to low 50s°F following a cold front, transitioning to partly cloudy conditions with light onshore flow that caps warming potential below seasonal norms of ~57°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push toward 58-59°F (16.5%), while thicker stratus favors 52-53°F (16.5%)—and subtle wind shifts; new 00z/12z runs expected April 5-6 may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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