Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 28°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability for São Paulo on April 13, driven by INMET's April 1 monthly outlook projecting above-average temperatures across southeast Brazil amid irregular rainfall patterns, following recent highs of 27°C on April 8-9 after an extratropical cyclone's passage. Current forecast models from INMET and ensembles like those reflected in AccuWeather show daily maxima clustering around 26-28°C (79-82°F), with partial cloud cover and a developing low-pressure system from April 11 potentially capping intensity through increased humidity and scattered showers, while historical April averages hover at 26°C. Uncertainty persists in model runs over exact cloud cover and southerly winds; watch INMET's daily updates and CPTEC guidance for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 13 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 13 avril ?
28°C ou plus 42%
26°C 25%
27°C 24%
25°C 7.8%
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C ou plus
42%
28°C ou plus 42%
26°C 25%
27°C 24%
25°C 7.8%
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C ou plus
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 28°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability for São Paulo on April 13, driven by INMET's April 1 monthly outlook projecting above-average temperatures across southeast Brazil amid irregular rainfall patterns, following recent highs of 27°C on April 8-9 after an extratropical cyclone's passage. Current forecast models from INMET and ensembles like those reflected in AccuWeather show daily maxima clustering around 26-28°C (79-82°F), with partial cloud cover and a developing low-pressure system from April 11 potentially capping intensity through increased humidity and scattered showers, while historical April averages hover at 26°C. Uncertainty persists in model runs over exact cloud cover and southerly winds; watch INMET's daily updates and CPTEC guidance for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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