Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 27°C in São Paulo at 43.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model outputs from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in updates from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs near 81°F (27°C) under partly cloudy skies and southeast winds of 10-20 mph. These conditions stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, suppressing cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10%, while moderating peak heat via coastal airflow. Over the past 24 hours, hourly guidance has tightened around 26-28°C after resolving earlier cloud variability, aligning with April climatology where average maxima hit 25.1°C but frequent 27°C days occur amid neutral ENSO patterns. Official INMET observations will track real-time data through afternoon peaks, with resolution based on validated airport station readings like Congonhas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 avril ?
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 6.5%
$24,475 Vol.
$24,475 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
20%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 6.5%
$24,475 Vol.
$24,475 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
21°C ou moins
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,741 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,715 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,951 Vol.
7%
26°C
$2,358 Vol.
24%
27°C
$1,585 Vol.
45%
28°C
$3,897 Vol.
20%
29°C
$3,520 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,263 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$1,819 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 27°C in São Paulo at 43.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model outputs from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in updates from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs near 81°F (27°C) under partly cloudy skies and southeast winds of 10-20 mph. These conditions stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, suppressing cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10%, while moderating peak heat via coastal airflow. Over the past 24 hours, hourly guidance has tightened around 26-28°C after resolving earlier cloud variability, aligning with April climatology where average maxima hit 25.1°C but frequent 27°C days occur amid neutral ENSO patterns. Official INMET observations will track real-time data through afternoon peaks, with resolution based on validated airport station readings like Congonhas.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$24,475Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 27°C in São Paulo at 43.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model outputs from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in updates from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs near 81°F (27°C) under partly cloudy skies and southeast winds of 10-20 mph. These conditions stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, suppressing cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10%, while moderating peak heat via coastal airflow. Over the past 24 hours, hourly guidance has tightened around 26-28°C after resolving earlier cloud variability, aligning with April climatology where average maxima hit 25.1°C but frequent 27°C days occur amid neutral ENSO patterns. Official INMET observations will track real-time data through afternoon peaks, with resolution based on validated airport station readings like Congonhas.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,475Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 27°C in São Paulo at 43.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model outputs from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in updates from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs near 81°F (27°C) under partly cloudy skies and southeast winds of 10-20 mph. These conditions stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, suppressing cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10%, while moderating peak heat via coastal airflow. Over the past 24 hours, hourly guidance has tightened around 26-28°C after resolving earlier cloud variability, aligning with April climatology where average maxima hit 25.1°C but frequent 27°C days occur amid neutral ENSO patterns. Official INMET observations will track real-time data through afternoon peaks, with resolution based on validated airport station readings like Congonhas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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