Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (35.5%) and 17°C (29.0%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a peak of 16-17°C amid spring-like conditions. These closely matched odds reflect a tight 1°C model spread, differentiated by subtle variations in predicted cloud cover and southerly winds: fuller cloudiness in ECMWF runs caps heating at 16°C by limiting insolation, while GFS anticipates partial clearing for a 17°C push via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Historical March 27 highs average 15.5°C, with current observations showing morning lows near 10°C setting up diurnal swings; upcoming hourly updates from the China Meteorological Administration could tip the balance before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 27 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 27 mars ?
16°C 32%
17°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 13%
11°C ou moins
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
10%
15°C
13%
16°C
32%
17°C
29%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C ou plus
2%
16°C 32%
17°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 13%
11°C ou moins
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
10%
15°C
13%
16°C
32%
17°C
29%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (35.5%) and 17°C (29.0%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a peak of 16-17°C amid spring-like conditions. These closely matched odds reflect a tight 1°C model spread, differentiated by subtle variations in predicted cloud cover and southerly winds: fuller cloudiness in ECMWF runs caps heating at 16°C by limiting insolation, while GFS anticipates partial clearing for a 17°C push via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Historical March 27 highs average 15.5°C, with current observations showing morning lows near 10°C setting up diurnal swings; upcoming hourly updates from the China Meteorological Administration could tip the balance before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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