Latest weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS point to a high of 26-27°C in Shenzhen on March 26, driving trader consensus with 33.5% odds on 26°C edging out 27°C at 27.5%, amid a post-cold-front rebound following rain on March 24-25. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds advecting subtropical moisture to cap peaks below 28°C—historical March 26 highs average 25°C but recent years trended warmer. Uncertainty stems from diurnal cycles and microscale urban heat effects, with final NCM updates tomorrow potentially shifting odds as traders weigh ensemble spreads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
26°C 39%
27°C 33%
25°C 24%
28°C 16%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
11%
26°C 39%
27°C 33%
25°C 24%
28°C 16%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS point to a high of 26-27°C in Shenzhen on March 26, driving trader consensus with 33.5% odds on 26°C edging out 27°C at 27.5%, amid a post-cold-front rebound following rain on March 24-25. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing and solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds advecting subtropical moisture to cap peaks below 28°C—historical March 26 highs average 25°C but recent years trended warmer. Uncertainty stems from diurnal cycles and microscale urban heat effects, with final NCM updates tomorrow potentially shifting odds as traders weigh ensemble spreads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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