Latest weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF drive the neck-and-neck odds for Lucknow's March 26 peak temperature, with consensus forecasts centering on 35-36°C under clear skies and light northerly winds favoring daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation. Dry air advection suppresses cloud cover, boosting maxima 2-3°C above seasonal norms of 32-34°C, yet slight model spread—ECMWF leaning cooler at 35°C, GFS warmer at 36°C—fuels trader uncertainty differentiating these outcomes. Recent days hit 37°C amid heatwave persistence, but overnight cooling and potential haze could cap it at 34°C or below, per 27.5% implied odds; official observations post-5 PM IST will resolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 32%
34°C or below 27%
36°C 27%
37°C 5.1%
$54,801 Vol.
$54,801 Vol.
34°C or below
27%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 27%
36°C 27%
37°C 5.1%
$54,801 Vol.
$54,801 Vol.
34°C or below
27%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF drive the neck-and-neck odds for Lucknow's March 26 peak temperature, with consensus forecasts centering on 35-36°C under clear skies and light northerly winds favoring daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation. Dry air advection suppresses cloud cover, boosting maxima 2-3°C above seasonal norms of 32-34°C, yet slight model spread—ECMWF leaning cooler at 35°C, GFS warmer at 36°C—fuels trader uncertainty differentiating these outcomes. Recent days hit 37°C amid heatwave persistence, but overnight cooling and potential haze could cap it at 34°C or below, per 27.5% implied odds; official observations post-5 PM IST will resolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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