Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 33–35°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, with 33°C at 29.5% and 34°C at 27.5%, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a maximum around 34–35°C amid clear skies and light winds. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show slight divergence, with GFS leaning warmer toward 35°C due to persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover, while ECMWF holds steadier at 33–34°C, reflecting soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells. Historical March data for Lucknow averages 32–34°C highs, but this year's early heat anomalies—2–3°C above normal—tilt odds against sub-33°C outcomes, though evening thunderstorms could cap peaks below 36°C. Key resolution hinges on airport observations by midnight IST.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 27 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 27 mars ?
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C ou moins
9%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C ou moins
9%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 33–35°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, with 33°C at 29.5% and 34°C at 27.5%, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a maximum around 34–35°C amid clear skies and light winds. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show slight divergence, with GFS leaning warmer toward 35°C due to persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover, while ECMWF holds steadier at 33–34°C, reflecting soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells. Historical March data for Lucknow averages 32–34°C highs, but this year's early heat anomalies—2–3°C above normal—tilt odds against sub-33°C outcomes, though evening thunderstorms could cap peaks below 36°C. Key resolution hinges on airport observations by midnight IST.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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