Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Taipei's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) projections and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicating daytime highs of 24–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent southerly flow has boosted early April temperatures above climatological averages of ~26°C at Songshan Airport station, but variable cloud cover and isolated showers—echoing yesterday's heavy rain alerts—could cap peaks at 24–25°C or allow brief intensification to 27°C under clearer conditions. With two days to resolution, watch daily CWA updates and model ensembles for shifts in low-level moisture and upper-air stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
23%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
21%
28°C
12%
29°C or higher
8%
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
19°C or below
$611 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$377 Vol.
1%
21°C
$265 Vol.
1%
22°C
$301 Vol.
5%
23°C
$506 Vol.
13%
24°C
$48 Vol.
23%
25°C
$61 Vol.
24%
26°C
$47 Vol.
31%
27°C
$43 Vol.
21%
28°C
$50 Vol.
12%
29°C or higher
$55 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Taipei's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) projections and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicating daytime highs of 24–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent southerly flow has boosted early April temperatures above climatological averages of ~26°C at Songshan Airport station, but variable cloud cover and isolated showers—echoing yesterday's heavy rain alerts—could cap peaks at 24–25°C or allow brief intensification to 27°C under clearer conditions. With two days to resolution, watch daily CWA updates and model ensembles for shifts in low-level moisture and upper-air stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$1,818Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Taipei's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) projections and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicating daytime highs of 24–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent southerly flow has boosted early April temperatures above climatological averages of ~26°C at Songshan Airport station, but variable cloud cover and isolated showers—echoing yesterday's heavy rain alerts—could cap peaks at 24–25°C or allow brief intensification to 27°C under clearer conditions. With two days to resolution, watch daily CWA updates and model ensembles for shifts in low-level moisture and upper-air stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,818Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Taipei's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) projections and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicating daytime highs of 24–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent southerly flow has boosted early April temperatures above climatological averages of ~26°C at Songshan Airport station, but variable cloud cover and isolated showers—echoing yesterday's heavy rain alerts—could cap peaks at 24–25°C or allow brief intensification to 27°C under clearer conditions. With two days to resolution, watch daily CWA updates and model ensembles for shifts in low-level moisture and upper-air stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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