**Forecast uncertainty around an approaching weather system is the main driver behind the evenly split market odds for Ankara's lowest temperature on September 23.** Multiple models indicate a cooling trend with possible showers or thunderstorms, producing daytime highs near 19–21°C and overnight lows in the 8–13°C range, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. However, slight differences in the timing of frontal passage, cloud cover, and wind patterns create divergence among ensembles, leaving realistic scenarios for both sub-6°C readings under clear, calm conditions and higher minima near or above 16°C if mixing or delayed cooling occurs. Official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these projections over the next 48 hours as new model runs become available.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 23 septembre ?
6°C ou moins 100%
16°C ou plus 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
6°C ou moins
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
23%
13 °C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C ou plus
100%
6°C ou moins 100%
16°C ou plus 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
6°C ou moins
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
23%
13 °C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C ou plus
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around an approaching weather system is the main driver behind the evenly split market odds for Ankara's lowest temperature on September 23.** Multiple models indicate a cooling trend with possible showers or thunderstorms, producing daytime highs near 19–21°C and overnight lows in the 8–13°C range, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. However, slight differences in the timing of frontal passage, cloud cover, and wind patterns create divergence among ensembles, leaving realistic scenarios for both sub-6°C readings under clear, calm conditions and higher minima near or above 16°C if mixing or delayed cooling occurs. Official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these projections over the next 48 hours as new model runs become available.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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