Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, with 96.3% implied probability, building on the March 25-basis-point cut to 14.75% that initiated the easing cycle despite Middle East oil shocks. This positioning reflects March IPCA inflation at 4.14% annually—still within the 3% target band's upper tolerance of 4.5%—and the latest Focus survey trimming end-2026 Selic forecasts to around 12.4%, signaling expectations for gradual monetary loosening amid resilient but cooling economic activity. Upside risks from hotter April IPCA data or escalating energy prices could challenge this, potentially prompting a pause if inflation breaches tolerance sustainably.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकमी 96.0%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 3.6%
बढ़ोतरी <1%
$271,827 वॉल्यूम
$271,827 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
बढ़ोतरी
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
4%
कमी
96%
कमी 96.0%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 3.6%
बढ़ोतरी <1%
$271,827 वॉल्यूम
$271,827 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
बढ़ोतरी
$144,131 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$62,505 वॉल्यूम
4%
कमी
$65,191 वॉल्यूम
96%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, with 96.3% implied probability, building on the March 25-basis-point cut to 14.75% that initiated the easing cycle despite Middle East oil shocks. This positioning reflects March IPCA inflation at 4.14% annually—still within the 3% target band's upper tolerance of 4.5%—and the latest Focus survey trimming end-2026 Selic forecasts to around 12.4%, signaling expectations for gradual monetary loosening amid resilient but cooling economic activity. Upside risks from hotter April IPCA data or escalating energy prices could challenge this, potentially prompting a pause if inflation breaches tolerance sustainably.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$271,827समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, with 96.3% implied probability, building on the March 25-basis-point cut to 14.75% that initiated the easing cycle despite Middle East oil shocks. This positioning reflects March IPCA inflation at 4.14% annually—still within the 3% target band's upper tolerance of 4.5%—and the latest Focus survey trimming end-2026 Selic forecasts to around 12.4%, signaling expectations for gradual monetary loosening amid resilient but cooling economic activity. Upside risks from hotter April IPCA data or escalating energy prices could challenge this, potentially prompting a pause if inflation breaches tolerance sustainably.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$271,827समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, with 96.3% implied probability, building on the March 25-basis-point cut to 14.75% that initiated the easing cycle despite Middle East oil shocks. This positioning reflects March IPCA inflation at 4.14% annually—still within the 3% target band's upper tolerance of 4.5%—and the latest Focus survey trimming end-2026 Selic forecasts to around 12.4%, signaling expectations for gradual monetary loosening amid resilient but cooling economic activity. Upside risks from hotter April IPCA data or escalating energy prices could challenge this, potentially prompting a pause if inflation breaches tolerance sustainably.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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