Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.4% implied probability of no change in the Bank Rate at the Bank of England's April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75% amid February CPI inflation steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—and heightened upside risks from Middle East conflict driving global energy prices higher. Persistent inflationary pressures, including imported costs from the Iran tensions, have solidified expectations for monetary policy restraint, overriding earlier disinflation hopes. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a sharper-than-expected drop in March CPI data (due April 22) or weakening labor market indicators signaling recession risks, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में बैंक ऑफ इंग्लैंड का फ़ैसला?
अप्रैल में बैंक ऑफ इंग्लैंड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 96.4%
वृद्धि 3.4%
50+ बिप्स की कटौती <1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी <1%
$446,393 वॉल्यूम
$446,393 वॉल्यूम
50+ बिप्स की कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
96%
वृद्धि
3%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 96.4%
वृद्धि 3.4%
50+ बिप्स की कटौती <1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी <1%
$446,393 वॉल्यूम
$446,393 वॉल्यूम
50+ बिप्स की कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
96%
वृद्धि
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.4% implied probability of no change in the Bank Rate at the Bank of England's April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75% amid February CPI inflation steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—and heightened upside risks from Middle East conflict driving global energy prices higher. Persistent inflationary pressures, including imported costs from the Iran tensions, have solidified expectations for monetary policy restraint, overriding earlier disinflation hopes. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a sharper-than-expected drop in March CPI data (due April 22) or weakening labor market indicators signaling recession risks, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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