The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.26% as of April 14, 2026, stabilizing after dipping from 4.31% earlier in the month amid a hawkish repricing triggered by March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—reflecting sticky price pressures and a robust labor market. The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% post its March 17-18 meeting, with the latest dot plot signaling just one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027, tempering easing expectations versus prior forecasts. This trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, anticipates limited monetary policy relief through 2027, with the yield curve steepening (2-year at 3.81%, 30-year at 4.91%). Watch the April 28-29 FOMC and upcoming CPI for potential upside breaks above 4.50%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$186,616 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4.5%
75%
4.6%
56%
4.8%
31%
5.0%
15%
5.2%
10%
5.5%
10%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
4%
$186,616 वॉल्यूम
4.5%
$27,194 वॉल्यूम
75%
4.6%
$34,761 वॉल्यूम
56%
4.8%
$44,996 वॉल्यूम
31%
5.0%
$38,447 वॉल्यूम
15%
5.2%
$8,237 वॉल्यूम
10%
5.5%
$1,143 वॉल्यूम
10%
5.7%
$2,884 वॉल्यूम
6%
6.0%
$1,987 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.26% as of April 14, 2026, stabilizing after dipping from 4.31% earlier in the month amid a hawkish repricing triggered by March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—reflecting sticky price pressures and a robust labor market. The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% post its March 17-18 meeting, with the latest dot plot signaling just one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027, tempering easing expectations versus prior forecasts. This trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, anticipates limited monetary policy relief through 2027, with the yield curve steepening (2-year at 3.81%, 30-year at 4.91%). Watch the April 28-29 FOMC and upcoming CPI for potential upside breaks above 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$186,616समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.26% as of April 14, 2026, stabilizing after dipping from 4.31% earlier in the month amid a hawkish repricing triggered by March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—reflecting sticky price pressures and a robust labor market. The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% post its March 17-18 meeting, with the latest dot plot signaling just one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027, tempering easing expectations versus prior forecasts. This trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, anticipates limited monetary policy relief through 2027, with the yield curve steepening (2-year at 3.81%, 30-year at 4.91%). Watch the April 28-29 FOMC and upcoming CPI for potential upside breaks above 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$186,616समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.26% as of April 14, 2026, stabilizing after dipping from 4.31% earlier in the month amid a hawkish repricing triggered by March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—reflecting sticky price pressures and a robust labor market. The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% post its March 17-18 meeting, with the latest dot plot signaling just one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027, tempering easing expectations versus prior forecasts. This trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, anticipates limited monetary policy relief through 2027, with the yield curve steepening (2-year at 3.81%, 30-year at 4.91%). Watch the April 28-29 FOMC and upcoming CPI for potential upside breaks above 4.50%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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