Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations for the federal funds rate to test lower bounds before 2027, driven by the Federal Reserve's March 2026 decision to hold the target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid cooling inflation pressures, with the effective rate steady at 3.64%. March CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—partly due to oil shocks, while unemployment edged to 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market. Fed minutes indicate openness to hikes if inflation persists, contrasting with CME FedWatch futures implying a steady path near 3.6% through mid-2026. Key catalysts include April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift rate cut probabilities amid 2% inflation mandate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले फेड रेट पर क्या असर पड़ेगा?
2027 से पहले फेड रेट पर क्या असर पड़ेगा?
$1,328,134 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
↑ 5.5%
7%
↑ 5.25%
5%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
6%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
9%
↓ 3.25%
66%
↓ 3.0%
25%
↓ 2.75%
17%
↓ 2.5%
13%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
9%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
10%
↓ 1.0%
9%
↓ 0.75%
8%
↓ 0.5%
4%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
4%
$1,328,134 वॉल्यूम
↑ 5.5%
$43,854 वॉल्यूम
7%
↑ 5.25%
$138,878 वॉल्यूम
5%
↑ 5.0%
$11,637 वॉल्यूम
4%
↑ 4.75%
$68,492 वॉल्यूम
6%
↑ 4.5%
$13,790 वॉल्यूम
6%
↑ 4.25%
$22,844 वॉल्यूम
9%
↓ 3.25%
$56,281 वॉल्यूम
66%
↓ 3.0%
$223,466 वॉल्यूम
25%
↓ 2.75%
$265,518 वॉल्यूम
17%
↓ 2.5%
$176,295 वॉल्यूम
13%
↓ 2.25%
$23,035 वॉल्यूम
8%
↓ 2.0%
$15,119 वॉल्यूम
9%
↓ 1.75%
$7,388 वॉल्यूम
7%
↓ 1.5%
$24,878 वॉल्यूम
7%
↓ 1.25%
$899 वॉल्यूम
10%
↓ 1.0%
$1,761 वॉल्यूम
9%
↓ 0.75%
$388 वॉल्यूम
8%
↓ 0.5%
$94,815 वॉल्यूम
4%
↓ 0.25%
$119,043 वॉल्यूम
5%
↓ 0%
$10,745 वॉल्यूम
4%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations for the federal funds rate to test lower bounds before 2027, driven by the Federal Reserve's March 2026 decision to hold the target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid cooling inflation pressures, with the effective rate steady at 3.64%. March CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—partly due to oil shocks, while unemployment edged to 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market. Fed minutes indicate openness to hikes if inflation persists, contrasting with CME FedWatch futures implying a steady path near 3.6% through mid-2026. Key catalysts include April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift rate cut probabilities amid 2% inflation mandate.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,328,134समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations for the federal funds rate to test lower bounds before 2027, driven by the Federal Reserve's March 2026 decision to hold the target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid cooling inflation pressures, with the effective rate steady at 3.64%. March CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—partly due to oil shocks, while unemployment edged to 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market. Fed minutes indicate openness to hikes if inflation persists, contrasting with CME FedWatch futures implying a steady path near 3.6% through mid-2026. Key catalysts include April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift rate cut probabilities amid 2% inflation mandate.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
वॉल्यूम
$1,328,134समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations for the federal funds rate to test lower bounds before 2027, driven by the Federal Reserve's March 2026 decision to hold the target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid cooling inflation pressures, with the effective rate steady at 3.64%. March CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—partly due to oil shocks, while unemployment edged to 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market. Fed minutes indicate openness to hikes if inflation persists, contrasting with CME FedWatch futures implying a steady path near 3.6% through mid-2026. Key catalysts include April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift rate cut probabilities amid 2% inflation mandate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न