President Trump's recent distinction of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, announced around April 7, has not deterred traders pricing a 67.5% chance of him endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30, driven by U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 that signal diplomatic momentum. Netanyahu's authorization of negotiations to disarm Hezbollah, coupled with the Israeli security cabinet's discussion of a potential truce amid ongoing airstrikes, reflects pressure to de-escalate and preserve the fragile Iran truce, aligning with Trump's Middle East peace pledges. However, Hezbollah's resistance and persistent fighting highlight uncertainties in achieving consensus before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ट्रम्प 30 अप्रैल तक लेबनान में इजरायली युद्धविराम का समर्थन करेंगे?
क्या ट्रम्प 30 अप्रैल तक लेबनान में इजरायली युद्धविराम का समर्थन करेंगे?
$84,961 वॉल्यूम
$84,961 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
$84,961 वॉल्यूम
$84,961 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's recent distinction of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, announced around April 7, has not deterred traders pricing a 67.5% chance of him endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30, driven by U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 that signal diplomatic momentum. Netanyahu's authorization of negotiations to disarm Hezbollah, coupled with the Israeli security cabinet's discussion of a potential truce amid ongoing airstrikes, reflects pressure to de-escalate and preserve the fragile Iran truce, aligning with Trump's Middle East peace pledges. However, Hezbollah's resistance and persistent fighting highlight uncertainties in achieving consensus before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,961समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's recent distinction of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, announced around April 7, has not deterred traders pricing a 67.5% chance of him endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30, driven by U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 that signal diplomatic momentum. Netanyahu's authorization of negotiations to disarm Hezbollah, coupled with the Israeli security cabinet's discussion of a potential truce amid ongoing airstrikes, reflects pressure to de-escalate and preserve the fragile Iran truce, aligning with Trump's Middle East peace pledges. However, Hezbollah's resistance and persistent fighting highlight uncertainties in achieving consensus before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
वॉल्यूम
$84,961समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent distinction of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, announced around April 7, has not deterred traders pricing a 67.5% chance of him endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30, driven by U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 that signal diplomatic momentum. Netanyahu's authorization of negotiations to disarm Hezbollah, coupled with the Israeli security cabinet's discussion of a potential truce amid ongoing airstrikes, reflects pressure to de-escalate and preserve the fragile Iran truce, aligning with Trump's Middle East peace pledges. However, Hezbollah's resistance and persistent fighting highlight uncertainties in achieving consensus before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न