Recent forecast guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C on September 15 amid typical rainy-season conditions, with scattered convection and cloud cover expected to limit stronger heating. This aligns with the September climatological average of about 30°C, where high humidity, sea-breeze effects, and frequent afternoon showers moderate peak temperatures on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant thermal scale. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture convergence along the Intertropical Convergence Zone, keeping the distribution centered on 30–31°C while allowing a smaller tail for 32°C or higher if drier air intrudes. Traders appear to weight the most recent model runs and historical analogs heavily, resulting in 31°C holding the plurality of implied probability. Updated official guidance from Panamanian meteorological authorities or refined global model outputs in the next 24 hours could further refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on September 15?
31°C 39%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
33°C or higher 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
8%
31°C 39%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
33°C or higher 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C on September 15 amid typical rainy-season conditions, with scattered convection and cloud cover expected to limit stronger heating. This aligns with the September climatological average of about 30°C, where high humidity, sea-breeze effects, and frequent afternoon showers moderate peak temperatures on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant thermal scale. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture convergence along the Intertropical Convergence Zone, keeping the distribution centered on 30–31°C while allowing a smaller tail for 32°C or higher if drier air intrudes. Traders appear to weight the most recent model runs and historical analogs heavily, resulting in 31°C holding the plurality of implied probability. Updated official guidance from Panamanian meteorological authorities or refined global model outputs in the next 24 hours could further refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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