Trader consensus reflects a fragmented first-round outcome in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, where no alliance secured a majority of the nine governorships, propelling five to seven departments into April 19 runoffs under the 50% threshold or 40%+10-point lead rule. LIBRE leads narrowly at 45% implied probability due to outright Pando win and frontrunner status for Santa Cruz via Juan Pablo Velasco, while UNIDAD at 39.5% competes strongly in La Paz (Revilla), Beni, and Tarija through Alianza Patria ties; APB Súmate's 35.5% hinges on Cochabamba's Rodríguez versus Loza. MAS-IPSP languishes at 2.5% amid Arce-Morales schism. Race stays tight on endorsements, turnout in battlegrounds, and regional autonomy pushes; final polls or mobilization surges could tip the most-wins tally.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Popular Alliance (AP) 9.0%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.5%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
$981 Vol.
$981 Vol.
22 mar 2026
Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%
Popular Alliance (AP)
22%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
3%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
45%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
40%
Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
35%
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Popular Alliance (AP) 9.0%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.5%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
$981 Vol.
$981 Vol.
22 mar 2026
Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
$297 Vol.
23%
Popular Alliance (AP)
$0 Vol.
22%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
$328 Vol.
3%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
$147 Vol.
45%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
$0 Vol.
40%
Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
$210 Vol.
35%
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus reflects a fragmented first-round outcome in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, where no alliance secured a majority of the nine governorships, propelling five to seven departments into April 19 runoffs under the 50% threshold or 40%+10-point lead rule. LIBRE leads narrowly at 45% implied probability due to outright Pando win and frontrunner status for Santa Cruz via Juan Pablo Velasco, while UNIDAD at 39.5% competes strongly in La Paz (Revilla), Beni, and Tarija through Alianza Patria ties; APB Súmate's 35.5% hinges on Cochabamba's Rodríguez versus Loza. MAS-IPSP languishes at 2.5% amid Arce-Morales schism. Race stays tight on endorsements, turnout in battlegrounds, and regional autonomy pushes; final polls or mobilization surges could tip the most-wins tally.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$981Data di fine
22 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus reflects a fragmented first-round outcome in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, where no alliance secured a majority of the nine governorships, propelling five to seven departments into April 19 runoffs under the 50% threshold or 40%+10-point lead rule. LIBRE leads narrowly at 45% implied probability due to outright Pando win and frontrunner status for Santa Cruz via Juan Pablo Velasco, while UNIDAD at 39.5% competes strongly in La Paz (Revilla), Beni, and Tarija through Alianza Patria ties; APB Súmate's 35.5% hinges on Cochabamba's Rodríguez versus Loza. MAS-IPSP languishes at 2.5% amid Arce-Morales schism. Race stays tight on endorsements, turnout in battlegrounds, and regional autonomy pushes; final polls or mobilization surges could tip the most-wins tally.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$981Data di fine
22 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a fragmented first-round outcome in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, where no alliance secured a majority of the nine governorships, propelling five to seven departments into April 19 runoffs under the 50% threshold or 40%+10-point lead rule. LIBRE leads narrowly at 45% implied probability due to outright Pando win and frontrunner status for Santa Cruz via Juan Pablo Velasco, while UNIDAD at 39.5% competes strongly in La Paz (Revilla), Beni, and Tarija through Alianza Patria ties; APB Súmate's 35.5% hinges on Cochabamba's Rodríguez versus Loza. MAS-IPSP languishes at 2.5% amid Arce-Morales schism. Race stays tight on endorsements, turnout in battlegrounds, and regional autonomy pushes; final polls or mobilization surges could tip the most-wins tally.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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