The Democratic Party of Korea's confirmation of former Seongdong District chief Chong Won-oh as its Seoul mayoral candidate on April 9, following his decisive primary win with over 50% support from party members and public polls, has driven trader consensus to an implied 89% probability of victory in the June 3 election. Recent April 13 polling shows Chong leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon 52%-37% in a head-to-head matchup, fueled by voter fatigue over housing costs, aging infrastructure, and youth turnout favoring change. Oh trails at 8% amid his party's ongoing primary against challengers like Park Ju-min, set to conclude late April, while other candidates remain unendorsed with negligible odds. Late scandals or PPP unification could narrow the gap, but Chong's ground-game edge and presidential backing dominate current sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Seul
2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Seul
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$22,931,617 Vol.
$22,931,617 Vol.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$22,931,617 Vol.
$22,931,617 Vol.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea's confirmation of former Seongdong District chief Chong Won-oh as its Seoul mayoral candidate on April 9, following his decisive primary win with over 50% support from party members and public polls, has driven trader consensus to an implied 89% probability of victory in the June 3 election. Recent April 13 polling shows Chong leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon 52%-37% in a head-to-head matchup, fueled by voter fatigue over housing costs, aging infrastructure, and youth turnout favoring change. Oh trails at 8% amid his party's ongoing primary against challengers like Park Ju-min, set to conclude late April, while other candidates remain unendorsed with negligible odds. Late scandals or PPP unification could narrow the gap, but Chong's ground-game edge and presidential backing dominate current sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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