Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and municipal leaders, driven by consistent polling leads of 15–30 points over the People Power Party across key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Gyeonggi Province. Recent surveys from Gallup Korea, Realmeter, and Segye Ilbo in early April confirm Democratic Party advantages even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and South Gyeongsang, reflecting the ruling People Power Party's collapse following former President Yoon Suk-yeol's 2024 martial law declaration, subsequent impeachment, and conviction. Party primaries continue amid low undecided voters at around 10–20%, with Democratic momentum bolstered by new President Lee Jae-myung's rising approval. Late scandals, economic shocks, or turnout surges in rural areas could narrow the gap, though historical local election patterns favor frontrunners this close to voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni locali sudcoreane del 2026: vincitore del partito
Elezioni locali sudcoreane del 2026: vincitore del partito
Partito Democratico della Corea (DP) 96.5%
Partito del Potere del Popolo (PPP) 3.1%
Partito Progressista (PP) <1%
Partito della Riforma (RP) <1%
$2,234,056 Vol.
$2,234,056 Vol.
3 giu 2026
Partito Democratico della Corea (DP)
97%
Partito del Potere del Popolo (PPP)
3%
Partito Progressista (PP)
<1%
Partito della Riforma (RP)
<1%
Partito Ricostruzione Corea (RKP)
<1%
Partito Democratico della Corea (DP) 96.5%
Partito del Potere del Popolo (PPP) 3.1%
Partito Progressista (PP) <1%
Partito della Riforma (RP) <1%
$2,234,056 Vol.
$2,234,056 Vol.
3 giu 2026
Partito Democratico della Corea (DP)
$475,118 Vol.
97%
Partito del Potere del Popolo (PPP)
$1,039,818 Vol.
3%
Partito Progressista (PP)
$315,142 Vol.
<1%
Partito della Riforma (RP)
$150,378 Vol.
<1%
Partito Ricostruzione Corea (RKP)
$253,601 Vol.
<1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and municipal leaders, driven by consistent polling leads of 15–30 points over the People Power Party across key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Gyeonggi Province. Recent surveys from Gallup Korea, Realmeter, and Segye Ilbo in early April confirm Democratic Party advantages even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and South Gyeongsang, reflecting the ruling People Power Party's collapse following former President Yoon Suk-yeol's 2024 martial law declaration, subsequent impeachment, and conviction. Party primaries continue amid low undecided voters at around 10–20%, with Democratic momentum bolstered by new President Lee Jae-myung's rising approval. Late scandals, economic shocks, or turnout surges in rural areas could narrow the gap, though historical local election patterns favor frontrunners this close to voting.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$2,234,056Data di fine
3 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and municipal leaders, driven by consistent polling leads of 15–30 points over the People Power Party across key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Gyeonggi Province. Recent surveys from Gallup Korea, Realmeter, and Segye Ilbo in early April confirm Democratic Party advantages even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and South Gyeongsang, reflecting the ruling People Power Party's collapse following former President Yoon Suk-yeol's 2024 martial law declaration, subsequent impeachment, and conviction. Party primaries continue amid low undecided voters at around 10–20%, with Democratic momentum bolstered by new President Lee Jae-myung's rising approval. Late scandals, economic shocks, or turnout surges in rural areas could narrow the gap, though historical local election patterns favor frontrunners this close to voting.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$2,234,056Data di fine
3 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and municipal leaders, driven by consistent polling leads of 15–30 points over the People Power Party across key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Gyeonggi Province. Recent surveys from Gallup Korea, Realmeter, and Segye Ilbo in early April confirm Democratic Party advantages even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and South Gyeongsang, reflecting the ruling People Power Party's collapse following former President Yoon Suk-yeol's 2024 martial law declaration, subsequent impeachment, and conviction. Party primaries continue amid low undecided voters at around 10–20%, with Democratic momentum bolstered by new President Lee Jae-myung's rising approval. Late scandals, economic shocks, or turnout surges in rural areas could narrow the gap, though historical local election patterns favor frontrunners this close to voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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