Trader consensus heavily favors the BJP at 96% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls like IANS-Matrize projecting over 96 seats for the NDA alliance—well above the 64 needed for majority government—in the 126-seat house. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's leadership, welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and peace initiatives have solidified support among key voting blocs including tea tribes and indigenous communities, amid fragmented opposition from INC and regional parties. Single-phase polling on April 9 recorded historic 85% voter turnout, interpreted as endorsement of the ruling coalition. Counting on May 4 could shift odds only via widespread discrepancies or re-poll orders, though such scenarios remain improbable given survey alignment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa di Assam
Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa di Assam
BJP 96.0%
INC 2.9%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,364 Vol.
$60,364 Vol.
20 mag 2026
BJP
96%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.0%
INC 2.9%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,364 Vol.
$60,364 Vol.
20 mag 2026
BJP
$11,682 Vol.
96%
INC
$7,393 Vol.
3%
AITC
$4,503 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,830 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$4,181 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$4,917 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$4,458 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$8,605 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$5,154 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$4,642 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus heavily favors the BJP at 96% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls like IANS-Matrize projecting over 96 seats for the NDA alliance—well above the 64 needed for majority government—in the 126-seat house. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's leadership, welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and peace initiatives have solidified support among key voting blocs including tea tribes and indigenous communities, amid fragmented opposition from INC and regional parties. Single-phase polling on April 9 recorded historic 85% voter turnout, interpreted as endorsement of the ruling coalition. Counting on May 4 could shift odds only via widespread discrepancies or re-poll orders, though such scenarios remain improbable given survey alignment.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$60,364Data di fine
9 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus heavily favors the BJP at 96% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls like IANS-Matrize projecting over 96 seats for the NDA alliance—well above the 64 needed for majority government—in the 126-seat house. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's leadership, welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and peace initiatives have solidified support among key voting blocs including tea tribes and indigenous communities, amid fragmented opposition from INC and regional parties. Single-phase polling on April 9 recorded historic 85% voter turnout, interpreted as endorsement of the ruling coalition. Counting on May 4 could shift odds only via widespread discrepancies or re-poll orders, though such scenarios remain improbable given survey alignment.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$60,364Data di fine
9 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the BJP at 96% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls like IANS-Matrize projecting over 96 seats for the NDA alliance—well above the 64 needed for majority government—in the 126-seat house. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's leadership, welfare schemes, infrastructure development, and peace initiatives have solidified support among key voting blocs including tea tribes and indigenous communities, amid fragmented opposition from INC and regional parties. Single-phase polling on April 9 recorded historic 85% voter turnout, interpreted as endorsement of the ruling coalition. Counting on May 4 could shift odds only via widespread discrepancies or re-poll orders, though such scenarios remain improbable given survey alignment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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