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Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Market icon
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

BJP 96.2%

INC 3.0%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$60,364 Vol.

BJP 96.2%

INC 3.0%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$60,364 Vol.

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

BJP

$11,682 Vol.

96%

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

INC

$7,393 Vol.

3%

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

AITC

$4,503 Vol.

<1%

Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI(M)

$4,830 Vol.

<1%

Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

NCP

$4,181 Vol.

<1%

Will the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

AIUDF

$4,917 Vol.

<1%

Will the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

BPF

$4,458 Vol.

<1%

Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI

$8,605 Vol.

<1%

Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

NPEP

$5,154 Vol.

<1%

Will the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

AGP

$4,642 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, dominates trader consensus at 96% implied probability for winning the Assam Legislative Assembly following the April 9, 2026 polling across 126 seats, with results slated for May 4. Pre-election opinion polls from C-Voters and others projected a strong NDA majority, bolstered by delimitation increasing seats in BJP strongholds, sustained incumbency since 2016, development initiatives, and fragmented opposition including Congress (INC) at 3%. Record 76% voter turnout reflected high stakes, but consistent polling trends cement BJP's frontrunner status. Realistic challenges include vote-counting discrepancies, recounts in close seats, or alliance shifts, though historical patterns favor the incumbent in Assam's first-past-the-post system.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$60,364
Data di fine
9 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, dominates trader consensus at 96% implied probability for winning the Assam Legislative Assembly following the April 9, 2026 polling across 126 seats, with results slated for May 4. Pre-election opinion polls from C-Voters and others projected a strong NDA majority, bolstered by delimitation increasing seats in BJP strongholds, sustained incumbency since 2016, development initiatives, and fragmented opposition including Congress (INC) at 3%. Record 76% voter turnout reflected high stakes, but consistent polling trends cement BJP's frontrunner status. Realistic challenges include vote-counting discrepancies, recounts in close seats, or alliance shifts, though historical patterns favor the incumbent in Assam's first-past-the-post system.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$60,364
Data di fine
9 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

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Domande frequenti

"Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "BJP" a 96%, seguito da "INC" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 96¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" ha generato $60.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 23, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" è "BJP" a 96%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "INC" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.