Trader consensus prices incumbent President Iliana Iotova at 41.5% implied probability to win Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, reflecting her Bulgarian Socialist Party nomination and continuity with popular ex-President Rumen Radev, whose new Progressive Bulgaria alliance leads parliamentary polls at 30-37% ahead of the April 19 snap vote. Nikolai Denkov follows at 26.5% as a potential We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria nominee, buoyed by the bloc's 11-13% support and reformist anti-corruption platform. GERB-SDS's former Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov at 13% benefits from his party's second-place polling around 19-23%, while Varna Mayor Blagomir Kotsev garners 8.8% backing. Recent polls showing Radev extending his lead underscore the snap election's potential to shape alliances and momentum for the later direct popular vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria
Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%
$63,545 Vol.
$63,545 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
1%
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%
$63,545 Vol.
$63,545 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices incumbent President Iliana Iotova at 41.5% implied probability to win Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, reflecting her Bulgarian Socialist Party nomination and continuity with popular ex-President Rumen Radev, whose new Progressive Bulgaria alliance leads parliamentary polls at 30-37% ahead of the April 19 snap vote. Nikolai Denkov follows at 26.5% as a potential We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria nominee, buoyed by the bloc's 11-13% support and reformist anti-corruption platform. GERB-SDS's former Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov at 13% benefits from his party's second-place polling around 19-23%, while Varna Mayor Blagomir Kotsev garners 8.8% backing. Recent polls showing Radev extending his lead underscore the snap election's potential to shape alliances and momentum for the later direct popular vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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