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Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria

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Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria

Iliana Iotova 42%

Nikolai Denkov 27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%

Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%

Polymarket

$63,445 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 42%

Nikolai Denkov 27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%

Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%

Polymarket

$63,445 Vol.

Iliana Iotova vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Iliana Iotova

$32,733 Vol.

42%

Nikolai Denkov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Nikolai Denkov

$3,207 Vol.

27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$15,888 Vol.

13%

Blagomir Kotsev vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Blagomir Kotsev

$2,188 Vol.

9%

Boyko Borissov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Boyko Borissov

$1,619 Vol.

4%

Vassil Terziev vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Vassil Terziev

$1,280 Vol.

3%

Rosen Plevneliev vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Rosen Plevneliev

$893 Vol.

2%

Kostadin Kostadinov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Kostadin Kostadinov

$951 Vol.

2%

Yanaki Stoilov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Yanaki Stoilov

$1,429 Vol.

2%

Atanas Atanasov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Atanas Atanasov

$755 Vol.

1%

Delyan Peevski vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Delyan Peevski

$859 Vol.

1%

Krum Zarkov vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Krum Zarkov

$810 Vol.

1%

Natalia Kiselova vincerà le prossime elezioni presidenziali bulgare? icon

Natalia Kiselova

$834 Vol.

1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her elevation to the presidency in January following Rumen Radev's resignation—term limits bar his reelection—and her subsequent actions, including vetoing electoral code amendments and scheduling the April 19 snap parliamentary vote amid eighth election cycle since 2021. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, trails at 26.5%, reflecting his party's competitive parliamentary positioning despite fragmentation. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13% stems from GERB's recovery post his December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. No recent presidential polls exist; outcomes hinge on parliamentary results and coalition dynamics in the two-round direct vote.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$63,445
Data di fine
30 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her elevation to the presidency in January following Rumen Radev's resignation—term limits bar his reelection—and her subsequent actions, including vetoing electoral code amendments and scheduling the April 19 snap parliamentary vote amid eighth election cycle since 2021. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, trails at 26.5%, reflecting his party's competitive parliamentary positioning despite fragmentation. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13% stems from GERB's recovery post his December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. No recent presidential polls exist; outcomes hinge on parliamentary results and coalition dynamics in the two-round direct vote.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$63,445
Data di fine
30 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Iliana Iotova" a 42%, seguito da "Nikolai Denkov" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria" ha generato $63.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria" è "Iliana Iotova" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nikolai Denkov" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.