Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her elevation to the presidency in January following Rumen Radev's resignation—term limits bar his reelection—and her subsequent actions, including vetoing electoral code amendments and scheduling the April 19 snap parliamentary vote amid eighth election cycle since 2021. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, trails at 26.5%, reflecting his party's competitive parliamentary positioning despite fragmentation. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13% stems from GERB's recovery post his December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. No recent presidential polls exist; outcomes hinge on parliamentary results and coalition dynamics in the two-round direct vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria
Elezioni presidenziali in Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%
$63,445 Vol.
$63,445 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
1%
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%
$63,445 Vol.
$63,445 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
27%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her elevation to the presidency in January following Rumen Radev's resignation—term limits bar his reelection—and her subsequent actions, including vetoing electoral code amendments and scheduling the April 19 snap parliamentary vote amid eighth election cycle since 2021. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, trails at 26.5%, reflecting his party's competitive parliamentary positioning despite fragmentation. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13% stems from GERB's recovery post his December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. No recent presidential polls exist; outcomes hinge on parliamentary results and coalition dynamics in the two-round direct vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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