Recent polls, including CAR on April 15 and Gallup International, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 28-33% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—driven by anti-establishment sentiment amid prolonged instability and protests that toppled the prior government in December 2025. GERB-SDS holds a firm second at 19-23%, reflecting its enduring center-right base and consistent performance across proportional representation vote tallies, well ahead of PP–DB at 12-13% and others like DPS, Vazrazhdane, BSP, ITN, Velichie, APS, and MECh trailing far behind. Trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at 96.4%, with PB and PP–DB under 3% each, as no major shifts have emerged in the campaign's final days. Late voter turnout swings, scandal revelations, or polling errors could challenge this, though historical base rates favor stability in Bulgaria's fragmented multiparty system.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni parlamentari bulgare: 2° posto
Elezioni parlamentari bulgare: 2° posto
GERB-SDS 96.4%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 2.0%
DPS <1%
$58,986 Vol.
$58,986 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
96%
PB
2%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 96.4%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 2.0%
DPS <1%
$58,986 Vol.
$58,986 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
$25,235 Vol.
96%
PB
$8,469 Vol.
2%
PP–DB
$8,283 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAR on April 15 and Gallup International, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 28-33% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—driven by anti-establishment sentiment amid prolonged instability and protests that toppled the prior government in December 2025. GERB-SDS holds a firm second at 19-23%, reflecting its enduring center-right base and consistent performance across proportional representation vote tallies, well ahead of PP–DB at 12-13% and others like DPS, Vazrazhdane, BSP, ITN, Velichie, APS, and MECh trailing far behind. Trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at 96.4%, with PB and PP–DB under 3% each, as no major shifts have emerged in the campaign's final days. Late voter turnout swings, scandal revelations, or polling errors could challenge this, though historical base rates favor stability in Bulgaria's fragmented multiparty system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$58,986Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAR on April 15 and Gallup International, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 28-33% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—driven by anti-establishment sentiment amid prolonged instability and protests that toppled the prior government in December 2025. GERB-SDS holds a firm second at 19-23%, reflecting its enduring center-right base and consistent performance across proportional representation vote tallies, well ahead of PP–DB at 12-13% and others like DPS, Vazrazhdane, BSP, ITN, Velichie, APS, and MECh trailing far behind. Trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at 96.4%, with PB and PP–DB under 3% each, as no major shifts have emerged in the campaign's final days. Late voter turnout swings, scandal revelations, or polling errors could challenge this, though historical base rates favor stability in Bulgaria's fragmented multiparty system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$58,986Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including CAR on April 15 and Gallup International, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 28-33% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—driven by anti-establishment sentiment amid prolonged instability and protests that toppled the prior government in December 2025. GERB-SDS holds a firm second at 19-23%, reflecting its enduring center-right base and consistent performance across proportional representation vote tallies, well ahead of PP–DB at 12-13% and others like DPS, Vazrazhdane, BSP, ITN, Velichie, APS, and MECh trailing far behind. Trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at 96.4%, with PB and PP–DB under 3% each, as no major shifts have emerged in the campaign's final days. Late voter turnout swings, scandal revelations, or polling errors could challenge this, though historical base rates favor stability in Bulgaria's fragmented multiparty system.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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