Latest polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey from April 3-14 showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% and GERB-SDS at 19.4%, alongside Alpha Research and Sova Harris data placing GERB-SDS 10-12 points ahead of PP-DB, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS to secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding position stems from PB's sustained double-digit lead for first amid a fragmented field, with no major shifts in the past week despite chronic instability prompting this eighth vote since 2021. Challenges would require a late polling surge by PP-DB or DPS, differential turnout favoring rivals, or scandal impacting GERB-SDS, though historical base rates favor stability three days out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni parlamentari bulgare: 2° posto
Elezioni parlamentari bulgare: 2° posto
GERB-SDS 96.4%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 2.0%
DPS <1%
$58,986 Vol.
$58,986 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
96%
PB
2%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 96.4%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 2.0%
DPS <1%
$58,986 Vol.
$58,986 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
$25,235 Vol.
96%
PB
$8,469 Vol.
2%
PP–DB
$8,283 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Latest polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey from April 3-14 showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% and GERB-SDS at 19.4%, alongside Alpha Research and Sova Harris data placing GERB-SDS 10-12 points ahead of PP-DB, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS to secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding position stems from PB's sustained double-digit lead for first amid a fragmented field, with no major shifts in the past week despite chronic instability prompting this eighth vote since 2021. Challenges would require a late polling surge by PP-DB or DPS, differential turnout favoring rivals, or scandal impacting GERB-SDS, though historical base rates favor stability three days out.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$58,986Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Latest polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey from April 3-14 showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% and GERB-SDS at 19.4%, alongside Alpha Research and Sova Harris data placing GERB-SDS 10-12 points ahead of PP-DB, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS to secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding position stems from PB's sustained double-digit lead for first amid a fragmented field, with no major shifts in the past week despite chronic instability prompting this eighth vote since 2021. Challenges would require a late polling surge by PP-DB or DPS, differential turnout favoring rivals, or scandal impacting GERB-SDS, though historical base rates favor stability three days out.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$58,986Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest polls, including a Center for Analysis and Marketing survey from April 3-14 showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 32.1% and GERB-SDS at 19.4%, alongside Alpha Research and Sova Harris data placing GERB-SDS 10-12 points ahead of PP-DB, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS to secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding position stems from PB's sustained double-digit lead for first amid a fragmented field, with no major shifts in the past week despite chronic instability prompting this eighth vote since 2021. Challenges would require a late polling surge by PP-DB or DPS, differential turnout favoring rivals, or scandal impacting GERB-SDS, though historical base rates favor stability three days out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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