Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads at 31-32%, GERB-SDS follows at 19-21%, and PP-DB trails at 12%. Recent surveys, including CAM's April 14 poll (GERB-SDS 19.4%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 11.2%), underscore GERB-SDS's established centre-right base and double-digit edge over rivals amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. This positioning solidified after former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria surged post its February launch, displacing GERB from first. Late challenges could arise from PP-DB consolidating reformist votes, DPS minority turnout spikes, or GERB scandals, though no shifts appear in the final week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PP–DB 3.3%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,356 Vol.
$58,356 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
95%
PP–DB
3%
PB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PP–DB 3.3%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,356 Vol.
$58,356 Vol.
19 apr 2026
GERB-SDS
$24,898 Vol.
95%
PP–DB
$8,003 Vol.
3%
PB
$8,458 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads at 31-32%, GERB-SDS follows at 19-21%, and PP-DB trails at 12%. Recent surveys, including CAM's April 14 poll (GERB-SDS 19.4%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 11.2%), underscore GERB-SDS's established centre-right base and double-digit edge over rivals amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. This positioning solidified after former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria surged post its February launch, displacing GERB from first. Late challenges could arise from PP-DB consolidating reformist votes, DPS minority turnout spikes, or GERB scandals, though no shifts appear in the final week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$58,356Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads at 31-32%, GERB-SDS follows at 19-21%, and PP-DB trails at 12%. Recent surveys, including CAM's April 14 poll (GERB-SDS 19.4%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 11.2%), underscore GERB-SDS's established centre-right base and double-digit edge over rivals amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. This positioning solidified after former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria surged post its February launch, displacing GERB from first. Late challenges could arise from PP-DB consolidating reformist votes, DPS minority turnout spikes, or GERB scandals, though no shifts appear in the final week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$58,356Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads at 31-32%, GERB-SDS follows at 19-21%, and PP-DB trails at 12%. Recent surveys, including CAM's April 14 poll (GERB-SDS 19.4%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 11.2%), underscore GERB-SDS's established centre-right base and double-digit edge over rivals amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. This positioning solidified after former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria surged post its February launch, displacing GERB from first. Late challenges could arise from PP-DB consolidating reformist votes, DPS minority turnout spikes, or GERB scandals, though no shifts appear in the final week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti